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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 May 2009

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 19
  5. 25
  6. 44
  7. 16
  8. 26

JackpotA$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 20 of 930 under them

← 2009-05-09All recent draws2009-05-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 14 15 19 25 44 + 16 2629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2009 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

33times
142times
151time
192times
25

Prize breakdown · 2009-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 141Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$48Mto 598k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 235lines took a prize
  • 111 winnerschance said 17

Where the money went

  • 142%A$20M
  • 417%A$8M
  • 527%A$12.9M
  • 2 other tiers15%A$7.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 111≈ 17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
442times

Every number was expected about that many times after 19 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (3, 44) with the draw of 25 April 2009 — its closest relative in 19 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 May 2009): 14 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,818,182
  • 33,353≈ 4.0k by chanceA$1,383
  • 4172,626≈ 192k by chanceA$46.50
  • 2200A$12,276
  • 5421,864A$30.65
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈141M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 3,353 winners, 17% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    111A$1,818,182
    2200A$12,276
    33,353A$1,383
    4172,626A$46.50
    5421,864A$30.65