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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 24
  6. 30
  7. 33
  8. 37

JackpotA$4,242,966

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 146 of 930 under them

← 2011-10-08All recent draws2011-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 18 21 24 30 + 33 3729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd5th
  • low77th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

818times
1220times
1820times
2117times
24

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 68Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.1Mto 526k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 129lines took a prize
  • 18 winnerschance said 8.3

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 18≈ 8.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
3017times

Every number was expected about that many times after 145 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 12, 21) with the draw of 17 September 2011 — its closest relative in 145 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2011): 18 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$530,371
  • 31,874≈ 1.9k by chanceA$662
  • 483,102≈ 92k by chanceA$22.60
  • 287A$6,611
  • 5154,281A$20.40
  • 6286,341A$14.15
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈68M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 83,102 winners, 10% fewer than the 92k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    18A$530,371
    287A$6,611
    31,874A$662
    483,102A$22.60
    5154,281A$20.40
    6286,341A$14.15