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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 July 2015

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 25
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 14

JackpotA$4,272,655

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 340 of 930 under them

← 2015-06-27All recent draws2015-07-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 25 30 31 44 + 4 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

838times
1548times
2546times
3050times
31

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 42Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.3Mto 514k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 82lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 5.2

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 5.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

46times
4436times

Every number was expected about that many times after 339 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 15, 25) with the draw of 22 February 2014 — its closest relative in 339 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 June 2015): 15, 30 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,136,328
  • 3966≈ 1.2k by chanceA$1,295
  • 451,854≈ 58k by chanceA$36.50
  • 260A$9,663
  • 5137,989A$23.00
  • 6323,076A$12.65
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 966 winners, 20% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,136,328
    260A$9,663
    3966A$1,295
    451,854A$36.50
    5137,989A$23.00
    6323,076A$12.65