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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 October 2015

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 7
  4. 8
  5. 15
  6. 39
  7. 30
  8. 34

JackpotA$4,042,799

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 354 of 930 under them

← 2015-10-03All recent draws2015-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 7 8 15 39 + 30 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd94th
  • low94th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

162times
551times
743times
840times
15

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 56Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.4Mto 452k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 124lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 6.9

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.9M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 6.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

50times
3945times

Every number was expected about that many times after 353 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 15, 39) with the draw of 16 November 2013 — its closest relative in 353 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2015): 7 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,021,400
  • 31,334≈ 1.6k by chanceA$888
  • 468,869≈ 77k by chanceA$26.00
  • 262A$8,854
  • 5135,346A$22.20
  • 6246,008A$15.75
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈56M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,334 winners, 17% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,021,400
    262A$8,854
    31,334A$888
    468,869A$26.00
    5135,346A$22.20
    6246,008A$15.75