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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 March 2016

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 20
  4. 26
  5. 39
  6. 45
  7. 19
  8. 33

JackpotA$3,956,684

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 375 of 930 under them

← 2016-02-27All recent draws2016-03-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 20 26 39 45 + 19 3329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

243times
1153times
2052times
2650times
39

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-05

  • Lines in play≈ 43Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.1Mto 449k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 95lines took a prize
  • 16 winnerschance said 5.2

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$2.9M
  • 627%A$3.8M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 16≈ 5.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
4547times

Every number was expected about that many times after 374 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 26, 39) with the draw of 29 August 2015 — its closest relative in 374 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$659,447
  • 3958≈ 1.2k by chanceA$1,208
  • 452,443≈ 58k by chanceA$33.40
  • 238A$14,118
  • 5122,257A$24.00
  • 6272,994A$13.85
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈43M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 958 winners, 22% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    16A$659,447
    238A$14,118
    3958A$1,208
    452,443A$33.40
    5122,257A$24.00
    6272,994A$13.85