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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2016

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 28
  8. 30

JackpotA$4,006,473

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 407 of 930 under them

← 2016-10-08All recent draws2016-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 21 22 31 40 + 28 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

247times
847times
2150times
2250times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 46Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.3Mto 465k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 99lines took a prize
  • 18 winnerschance said 5.6

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.8M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 18≈ 5.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
4057times

Every number was expected about that many times after 406 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 31, 40) with the draw of 12 December 2015 — its closest relative in 406 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2016): 2, 21 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$500,809
  • 31,174≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,001
  • 456,269≈ 63k by chanceA$31.60
  • 281A$6,725
  • 5135,309A$22.02
  • 6271,863A$14.15
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈46M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,174 winners, 11% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    18A$500,809
    281A$6,725
    31,174A$1,001
    456,269A$31.60
    5135,309A$22.02
    6271,863A$14.15