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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 February 2017

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 18
  3. 41
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 45
  7. 2
  8. 21

JackpotA$4,230,618

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 424 of 930 under them

← 2017-02-04All recent draws2017-02-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 18 41 42 43 45 + 2 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

346times
1863times
4161times
4265times
43

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-11

  • Lines in play≈ 53Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.1Mto 478k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 111lines took a prize
  • 13 winnerschance said 6.5

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 13≈ 6.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
4554times

Every number was expected about that many times after 423 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 18, 41) with the draw of 9 April 2016 — its closest relative in 423 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42, 42–43. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,410,206
  • 31,079≈ 1.5k by chanceA$1,149
  • 464,980≈ 72k by chanceA$28.85
  • 252A$11,044
  • 5120,504A$26.10
  • 6291,268A$13.90
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈53M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,079 winners, 29% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    13A$1,410,206
    252A$11,044
    31,079A$1,149
    464,980A$28.85
    5120,504A$26.10
    6291,268A$13.90