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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 20 October 2018

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 45
  7. 8
  8. 22

JackpotA$3,994,958

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 512 of 930 under them

← 2018-10-13All recent draws2018-10-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 14 15 38 42 45 + 8 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each

571times
1459times
1570times
3871times
42

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 36Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.3Mto 500k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 73lines took a prize
  • 19 winnerschance said 4.5

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.8M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 19≈ 4.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
4569times

Every number was expected about that many times after 511 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 38, 42, 45) with the draw of 2 May 2009 — its closest relative in 511 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$443,884
  • 3804≈ 1.0k by chanceA$1,455
  • 444,674≈ 50k by chanceA$39.60
  • 253A$10,232
  • 5120,511A$24.65
  • 6333,902A$11.45
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 804 winners, 23% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    19A$443,884
    253A$10,232
    3804A$1,455
    444,674A$39.60
    5120,511A$24.65
    6333,902A$11.45