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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 October 2020

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 12
  4. 14
  5. 16
  6. 38
  7. 3
  8. 17

JackpotA$6,501,020

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 616 of 931 under them

← 2020-10-10All recent draws2020-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 12 14 16 38 + 3 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd5th
  • low94th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

585times
873times
1286times
1471times
16

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 54Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$19.8Mto 1.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 46lines took a prize
  • 17 winnerschance said 6.7

Where the money went

  • 133%A$6.5M
  • 512%A$2.4M
  • 637%A$7.4M
  • 3 other tiers18%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 17≈ 6.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

96times
3894times

Every number was expected about that many times after 615 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 16, 38) with the draw of 25 July 2009 — its closest relative in 615 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2020): 5, 12 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$928,717
  • 31,315≈ 1.6k by chanceA$843
  • 466,793≈ 74k by chanceA$24.60
  • 292A$7,960
  • 5178,599A$13.60
  • 6934,105A$7.90
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,315 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    17A$928,717
    292A$7,960
    31,315A$843
    466,793A$24.60
    5178,599A$13.60
    6934,105A$7.90