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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 July 2021

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 30
  4. 32
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 10
  8. 45

JackpotA$5,998,937

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 655 of 930 under them

← 2021-07-10All recent draws2021-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 30 32 35 38 + 10 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

272times
1477times
3088times
3291times
35

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 42Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$18.3Mto 932k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 45lines took a prize
  • 16 winnerschance said 5.2

Where the money went

  • 133%A$6M
  • 512%A$2.2M
  • 637%A$6.8M
  • 3 other tiers18%A$3.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 16≈ 5.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

71times
38100times

Every number was expected about that many times after 654 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (30, 32, 35, 38) with the draw of 11 May 2013 — its closest relative in 654 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 July 2021): 30, 38 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$999,823
  • 3982≈ 1.2k by chanceA$1,044
  • 451,562≈ 57k by chanceA$29.45
  • 246A$14,722
  • 5127,440A$17.60
  • 6751,755A$9.10
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 982 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    16A$999,823
    246A$14,722
    3982A$1,044
    451,562A$29.45
    5127,440A$17.60
    6751,755A$9.10