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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Friday, 15 October 2021

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 14
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 30
  7. 40
  8. 1
  9. 38

JackpotA$4,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules7/44 + 2/44 · since Mar 2020draw 572 of 2,407 under them

← 2021-10-14All recent draws2021-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 14 17 21 22 30 40 + 1 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd13th
  • low87th
  • widest gap24th
  • neighbours55th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

684times
1492times
1785times
21103times
22

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$4.4Mto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • 191%A$4M
  • 72.6%A$116.7K
  • 84.9%A$217K
  • 5 other tiers1.9%A$85.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

93times
3094times
4074times

Every number was expected about that many times after 571 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 7 numbers (6, 17, 21, 30) with the draw of 18 June 2021 — its closest relative in 571 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2021): 14 carried over. Chance says 73% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 158. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 67% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,000,020
  • 21≈ 0.70 by chanceA$5,000
  • 312≈ 12 by chanceA$759
  • 5547≈ 702 by chanceA$34.80
  • 711,498≈ 14k by chanceA$10.15
  • 471A$117
  • 61,992A$22.00
  • 821,593A$10.05
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 5 — 547 winners, 22% fewer than the 702 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,000,020
    21A$5,000
    312A$759
    471A$117
    5547A$34.80
    61,992A$22.00
    711,498A$10.15
    821,593A$10.05