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Mega-Sena · draw

Saturday, 9 October 2004

ResultMega-Sena

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 24
  3. 44
  4. 49
  5. 52
  6. 53

JackpotR$10,318,038

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 605 of 3,065 under them

← 2004-10-06All recent draws2004-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 24 44 49 52 5329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2004 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd22th
  • low22th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread68th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

466times
2467times
4458times
4964times
52

Prize breakdown · 2004-10-09

  • Lines in play≈ 9.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outR$2.1Mto 4.0k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 2,306lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 550%R$1.1M
  • Match 450%R$1.1M
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.19 by chanceR$10,318,038
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

63times
5371times

Every number was expected about that many times after 604 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 44, 52, 53) with the draw of 30 January 2002 — its closest relative in 604 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 October 2004): 49 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

226

The numbers add up to 226 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 52–53. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

52 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 85% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
45≈ 60 by chance
R$23,717
  • Match 43,980≈ 4.0k by chanceR$267
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,980 winners, 0% more than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60R$10,318,038
    Match 545R$23,717
    Match 43,980R$267
    Totals4,025—