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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega-Sena · draw
ResultMega-Sena
JackpotR$32,835,875
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 1,644 of 3,065 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Where the money went
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,643 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 8,884 winners, 0% more than the 8.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | R$32,835,875 |
| Match 5 | 92 | R$30,918 |
| Match 4 | 8,884 | R$457 |
| Totals | 8,976 | — |