Saturday, 26 October 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 6 numbers (43) with the draw of 19 October 2024 — its closest relative in 4 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2024): 43 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 158 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42, 42–43. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.