Friday, 18 July 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 12, 15, 25) with the draw of 1 February 2025 — its closest relative in 295 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 July 2025): 6, 15 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 67 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 5–6. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.