Saturday, 16 August 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 33, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 May 2025 — its closest relative in 93 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 179 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.