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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 21 January 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 25
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 41
  6. 43
  7. 9
  8. 40

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,603 of 4,864 under them

← 2020-01-20All recent draws2020-01-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 25 28 29 41 43 + 9 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 319 of each

3313times
25337times
28320times
29293times
41

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€614.5Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€151.8K
  • 420%€120.2K
  • 343%€266.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€75.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

313times
43285times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,602 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 25, 28, 41) with the draw of 1 July 2015 — its closest relative in 2,602 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2020): 3 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.5 by chance
€151,822
  • 567≈ 72 by chance€1,133
  • 43,521≈ 4.0k by chance€34.14
  • 366,648≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,521 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€151,822
    567€1,133
    43,521€34.14
    366,648€4.00
    R0€0.50