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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 14 March 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 18
  3. 25
  4. 28
  5. 40
  6. 41
  7. 2
  8. 34

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,649 of 4,864 under them

← 2020-03-13All recent draws2020-05-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 18 25 28 40 41 + 2 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 324 of each

14324times
18336times
25342times
28326times
40

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€587.7Kto 65k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • 538%€222.9K
  • 420%€117.6K
  • 342%€247.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.27 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

330times
41319times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,648 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 18, 25, 41) with the draw of 13 January 2016 — its closest relative in 2,648 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 March 2020): 14, 25 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.3 by chance
no winners
  • 544≈ 67 by chance€5,065
  • 43,097≈ 3.7k by chance€37.98
  • 361,809≈ 67k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,097 winners, 16% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    544€5,065
    43,097€37.98
    361,809€4.00
    R0€0.50