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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 4 September 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 29
  3. 30
  4. 32
  5. 41
  6. 46
  7. 4
  8. 47

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,738 of 4,865 under them

← 2020-09-03All recent draws2020-09-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 29 30 32 41 46 + 4 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 335 of each

1339times
29312times
30329times
32331times
41

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€738Kto 74k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 540%€298.9K
  • 421%€157.7K
  • 338%€281.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

331times
46336times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,737 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 30, 32, 41) with the draw of 24 November 2018 — its closest relative in 2,737 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 September 2020): 29, 30 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

179

The numbers add up to 179 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 3.7 by chance
no winners
  • 554≈ 76 by chance€5,535
  • 43,432≈ 4.2k by chance€45.96
  • 370,357≈ 76k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,432 winners, 18% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    554€5,535
    43,432€45.96
    370,357€4.00
    R0€0.50