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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 20 October 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 17
  5. 28
  6. 46
  7. 4
  8. 7

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,777 of 4,864 under them

← 2020-10-19All recent draws2020-10-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 10 17 28 46 + 4 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 340 of each

5342times
8320times
10377times
17317times
28

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€621.8Kto 79k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€140.2K
  • 418%€111K
  • 348%€300.4K
  • 1 other tier11%€70.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

342times
46339times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,776 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 10, 17) with the draw of 2 August 2018 — its closest relative in 2,776 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.0 by chance
€140,246
  • 562≈ 81 by chance€1,131
  • 44,318≈ 4.5k by chance€25.71
  • 375,111≈ 82k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 75,111 winners, 8% fewer than the 82k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€140,246
    562€1,131
    44,318€25.71
    375,111€4.00
    R0€0.50