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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 31 October 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 23
  5. 39
  6. 41
  7. 5
  8. 6

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,787 of 4,864 under them

← 2020-10-30All recent draws2020-11-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 13 23 39 41 + 5 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 341 of each

10379times
11346times
13335times
23325times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 668%€1.6M
  • 5+C7.5%€176.2K
  • 315%€352.6K
  • 2 other tiers10%€227.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

334times
41340times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,786 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 13, 39, 41) with the draw of 26 August 2020 — its closest relative in 2,786 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 October 2020): 41 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,607,271
  • 5+C4≈ 4.7 by chance€44,039
  • 577≈ 95 by chance€1,144
  • 44,854≈ 5.3k by chance€28.73
  • 388,161≈ 96k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 88,161 winners, 8% fewer than the 96k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,607,271
    5+C4€44,039
    577€1,144
    44,854€28.73
    388,161€4.00
    R0€0.50