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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 10 February 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 21
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 36
  6. 38
  7. 0
  8. 2

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,874 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-02-09All recent draws2021-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 21 23 30 36 38 + 0 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 352 of each

20366times
21346times
23334times
30349times
36

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 647%€635.7K
  • 5+C14%€184.7K
  • 322%€304.7K
  • 2 other tiers17%€238.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

394times
38347times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,873 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 21, 30, 38) with the draw of 17 August 2020 — its closest relative in 2,873 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€635,712
  • 5+C2≈ 4.0 by chance€92,360
  • 574≈ 82 by chance€1,248
  • 43,868≈ 4.5k by chance€37.81
  • 376,176≈ 83k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,868 winners, 15% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€635,712
    5+C2€92,360
    574€1,248
    43,868€37.81
    376,176€4.00
    R0€0.50