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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 17 February 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 28
  3. 34
  4. 43
  5. 48
  6. 49
  7. 0
  8. 42

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,880 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-02-16All recent draws2021-02-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 28 34 43 48 49 + 0 4229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 353 of each

10391times
28351times
34358times
43322times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€664.7Kto 75k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 537%€249K
  • 420%€131.4K
  • 343%€284.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

346times
49357times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,879 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (28, 34, 43, 49) with the draw of 29 October 2019 — its closest relative in 2,879 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

212

The numbers add up to 212 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 3.8 by chance
no winners
  • 563≈ 77 by chance€3,952
  • 43,711≈ 4.2k by chance€35.41
  • 371,079≈ 77k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,711 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    563€3,952
    43,711€35.41
    371,079€4.00
    R0€0.50