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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 15 September 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 17
  3. 23
  4. 32
  5. 40
  6. 43
  7. 4
  8. 21

Jackpot€1,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,060 of 4,865 under them

← 2021-09-14All recent draws2021-09-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 17 23 32 40 43 + 4 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 375 of each

13377times
17349times
23363times
32380times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€854.6Kto 106k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€198.5K
  • 418%€157.2K
  • 347%€399.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€99.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.44 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

386times
43343times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,059 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 23, 32, 43) with the draw of 31 August 2019 — its closest relative in 3,059 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 5.3 by chance
€66,170
  • 599≈ 108 by chance€1,003
  • 45,524≈ 6.0k by chance€28.45
  • 399,918≈ 109k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 99,918 winners, 8% fewer than the 109k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€66,170
    599€1,003
    45,524€28.45
    399,918€4.00
    R0€0.50