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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 10 September 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 28
  5. 39
  6. 46
  7. 0
  8. 35

Jackpot€1,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,369 of 4,864 under them

← 2022-09-09All recent draws2022-09-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 21 28 39 46 + 0 3529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 412 of each

4411times
11405times
21407times
28416times
39

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€764Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€190.1K
  • 420%€150.5K
  • 343%€328.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€95K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

412times
46409times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,368 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 28, 39, 46) with the draw of 24 February 2020 — its closest relative in 3,368 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 4.3 by chance
€47,521
  • 585≈ 89 by chance€1,118
  • 44,464≈ 4.9k by chance€33.71
  • 382,095≈ 89k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,464 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€47,521
    585€1,118
    44,464€33.71
    382,095€4.00
    R0€0.50