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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 17 January 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 24
  2. 30
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 50
  6. 2

Jackpot€12,031,034

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 3 of 869 under them

← 2010-01-10All recent draws2010-01-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed24 30 39 40 50 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

241time
300times
390times
401time
50

Prize breakdown · 2010-01-17

  • Lines in play≈ 7.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 685k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • 5+015%€343.3K
  • 2+028%€654.6K
  • 0+127%€642.7K
  • 5 other tiers30%€697.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

20times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 January 2010 — its closest relative in 2 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 January 2010): 40 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 2 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.0 by chance€343,325
  • 4+125≈ 55 by chance€2,497
  • 4+0231≈ 495 by chance€315
  • 3+11,332≈ 2.6k by chance€62.49
  • 3+014,914≈ 24k by chance€18.14
  • 2+122,002≈ 41k by chance€9.46
  • 2+0218,198≈ 373k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1428,448≈ 428k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,332 winners, 50% fewer than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€343,325
    4+125€2,497
    4+0231€315
    3+11,332€62.49
    3+014,914€18.14
    2+122,002€9.46
    2+0218,198€3.00
    0+1428,448€1.50