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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 July 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 14
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 48
  6. 4

Jackpot€19,080,300

The crowdHeld 43% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 27 of 868 under them

← 2010-06-27All recent draws2010-07-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 14 27 31 48 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

10times
144times
272times
314times
48

Prize breakdown · 2010-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 9.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 952k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€350.3K
  • 2+031%€887.1K
  • 0+132%€898.3K
  • 5 other tiers25%€711.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

43times

Every number was expected about that many times after 26 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (14, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 April 2010 — its closest relative in 26 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 June 2010): 27 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+03≈ 2.8 by chance€116,763
  • 4+159≈ 77 by chance€1,079
  • 4+0394≈ 693 by chance€189
  • 3+12,305≈ 3.7k by chance€36.84
  • 3+018,578≈ 33k by chance€14.86
  • 2+135,651≈ 58k by chance€5.95
  • 2+0295,712≈ 521k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1598,887≈ 599k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 18,578 winners, 44% fewer than the 33k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€116,763
    4+159€1,079
    4+0394€189
    3+12,305€36.84
    3+018,578€14.86
    2+135,651€5.95
    2+0295,712€3.00
    0+1598,887€1.50