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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 July 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 24
  3. 30
  4. 46
  5. 52
  6. 5

Jackpot€23,284,411

The crowdHeld 59% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 30 of 869 under them

← 2010-07-18All recent draws2010-08-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 24 30 46 52 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd10th
  • low34th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread21th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

232times
245times
303times
462times
52

Prize breakdown · 2010-07-25

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€452.7K
  • 2+026%€810.6K
  • 0+136%€1.1M
  • 4 other tiers23%€708K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

3times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

53times

Every number was expected about that many times after 29 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (24, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 May 2010 — its closest relative in 29 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2010): 52 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.6 by chance
no winners
  • 4+146≈ 97 by chance€9,841
  • 4+0322≈ 870 by chance€252
  • 3+12,272≈ 4.6k by chance€40.87
  • 3+015,918≈ 42k by chance€18.96
  • 2+138,814≈ 73k by chance€5.98
  • 2+0270,192≈ 654k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1752,663≈ 753k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 322 winners, 63% fewer than the 870 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+146€9,841
    4+0322€252
    3+12,272€40.87
    3+015,918€18.96
    2+138,814€5.98
    2+0270,192€3.00
    0+1752,663€1.50