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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 23 January 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 21
  4. 33
  5. 50
  6. 5

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 54% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 56 of 868 under them

← 2011-01-16All recent draws2011-01-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 21 33 50 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

117times
148times
214times
336times
50

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 947k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€284.5K
  • 2+030%€764K
  • 0+137%€950.2K
  • 5 other tiers22%€577.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

56times

Every number was expected about that many times after 55 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 33, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 October 2010 — its closest relative in 55 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 January 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+02≈ 3.0 by chance€142,237
  • 4+150≈ 81 by chance€1,034
  • 4+0329≈ 733 by chance€183
  • 3+12,619≈ 3.9k by chance€26.33
  • 3+016,673≈ 35k by chance€13.44
  • 2+139,404≈ 61k by chance€4.38
  • 2+0254,665≈ 551k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1633,497≈ 633k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 329 winners, 55% fewer than the 733 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€142,237
    4+150€1,034
    4+0329€183
    3+12,619€26.33
    3+016,673€13.44
    2+139,404€4.38
    2+0254,665€3.00
    0+1633,497€1.50