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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 29 January 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 26
  2. 29
  3. 30
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 5

Jackpot€10,665,675

The crowdHeld 60% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 109 of 868 under them

← 2012-01-22All recent draws2012-02-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed26 29 30 38 41 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

267times
2914times
308times
386times
41

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-29

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 887k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€316.2K
  • 2+026%€653.3K
  • 0+137%€931.8K
  • 5 other tiers25%€641.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

513times

Every number was expected about that many times after 108 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 38, 41) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 January 2012 — its closest relative in 108 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 34% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 January 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+02≈ 2.9 by chance€158,114
  • 4+142≈ 80 by chance€1,369
  • 4+0234≈ 718 by chance€287
  • 3+11,992≈ 3.8k by chance€38.48
  • 3+013,713≈ 34k by chance€18.17
  • 2+131,918≈ 60k by chance€6.00
  • 2+0217,774≈ 540k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1621,187≈ 621k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 234 winners, 67% fewer than the 718 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€158,114
    4+142€1,369
    4+0234€287
    3+11,992€38.48
    3+013,713€18.17
    2+131,918€6.00
    2+0217,774€3.00
    0+1621,187€1.50