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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 September 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 25
  3. 27
  4. 47
  5. 48
  6. 2

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 142 of 868 under them

← 2012-09-09All recent draws2012-09-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 25 27 47 48 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

2010times
2510times
2716times
4713times
48

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 581k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€273.8K
  • 2+034%€631.8K
  • 0+127%€504.5K
  • 4 other tiers23%€428.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.18 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

212times

Every number was expected about that many times after 141 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (20, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 June 2012 — its closest relative in 141 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2012): 25 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.6 by chance
no winners
  • 4+124≈ 43 by chance€11,410
  • 4+0211≈ 389 by chance€233
  • 3+11,159≈ 2.1k by chance€48.47
  • 3+012,422≈ 19k by chance€14.70
  • 2+120,039≈ 32k by chance€7.01
  • 2+0210,595≈ 292k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1336,308≈ 336k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,159 winners, 44% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+124€11,410
    4+0211€233
    3+11,159€48.47
    3+012,422€14.70
    2+120,039€7.01
    2+0210,595€3.00
    0+1336,308€1.50