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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 28 October 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 34
  3. 42
  4. 43
  5. 45
  6. 1

Jackpot€9,975,521

The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 148 of 868 under them

← 2012-10-21All recent draws2012-11-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 34 42 43 45 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

2319times
3415times
426times
4312times
45

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€12.8Mto 552k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • 5+186%€11M
  • 2+04.9%€626.2K
  • 0+13.6%€465.3K
  • 6 other tiers5.8%€750K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

115times

Every number was expected about that many times after 147 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (34, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 October 2012 — its closest relative in 147 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2012): 34, 43 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,992,708
  • 5+01≈ 1.5 by chance€247,513
  • 4+123≈ 40 by chance€1,957
  • 4+0270≈ 359 by chance€194
  • 3+11,214≈ 1.9k by chance€49.43
  • 3+014,066≈ 17k by chance€13.86
  • 2+117,045≈ 30k by chance€8.80
  • 2+0208,718≈ 270k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1310,183≈ 310k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 17,045 winners, 43% fewer than the 30k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€10,992,708
    5+01€247,513
    4+123€1,957
    4+0270€194
    3+11,214€49.43
    3+014,066€13.86
    2+117,045€8.80
    2+0208,718€3.00
    0+1310,183€1.50