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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 28 September 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 2

Jackpot€6,451,557

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 248 of 868 under them

← 2014-09-21All recent draws2014-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 20 21 33 38 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

715times
2024times
2122times
3327times
38

Prize breakdown · 2014-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 445k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€165.5K
  • 2+037%€504.2K
  • 0+127%€373.8K
  • 5 other tiers24%€336K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

222times

Every number was expected about that many times after 247 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 21, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 February 2013 — its closest relative in 247 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€165,473
  • 4+119≈ 32 by chance€1,583
  • 4+0210≈ 288 by chance€167
  • 3+1970≈ 1.5k by chance€41.36
  • 3+010,759≈ 14k by chance€12.12
  • 2+115,479≈ 24k by chance€6.48
  • 2+0168,077≈ 217k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1249,197≈ 249k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 970 winners, 37% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€165,473
    4+119€1,583
    4+0210€167
    3+1970€41.36
    3+010,759€12.12
    2+115,479€6.48
    2+0168,077€3.00
    0+1249,197€1.50