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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 December 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 32
  5. 37
  6. 0

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 260 of 868 under them

← 2014-12-14All recent draws2014-12-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 20 21 32 37 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

1620times
2025times
2123times
3227times
37

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 382k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€183.4K
  • 2+036%€479.8K
  • 0+122%€300.1K
  • 5 other tiers28%€372.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.10 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

028times

Every number was expected about that many times after 259 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (20, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 September 2014 — its closest relative in 259 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 December 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 0 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 65 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 0.94 by chance
€91,715
  • 4+122≈ 26 by chance€1,516
  • 4+0200≈ 231 by chance€195
  • 3+1694≈ 1.2k by chance€64.07
  • 3+09,893≈ 11k by chance€14.61
  • 2+111,513≈ 19k by chance€9.66
  • 2+0159,919≈ 174k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1200,085≈ 200k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 694 winners, 44% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€91,715
    4+122€1,516
    4+0200€195
    3+1694€64.07
    3+09,893€14.61
    2+111,513€9.66
    2+0159,919€3.00
    0+1200,085€1.50