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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 February 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 19
  3. 38
  4. 47
  5. 48
  6. 2

Jackpot€5,942,727

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 268 of 868 under them

← 2015-02-08All recent draws2015-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 19 38 47 48 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1621times
1916times
3826times
4731times
48

Prize breakdown · 2015-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 408k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€216K
  • 2+032%€425.6K
  • 0+127%€365.1K
  • 4 other tiers25%€337.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

223times

Every number was expected about that many times after 267 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 38, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 September 2013 — its closest relative in 267 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 February 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.1 by chance
no winners
  • 4+125≈ 31 by chance€8,640
  • 4+0166≈ 281 by chance€234
  • 3+1853≈ 1.5k by chance€51.95
  • 3+08,461≈ 14k by chance€17.02
  • 2+113,433≈ 24k by chance€8.25
  • 2+0141,871≈ 212k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1243,413≈ 243k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 853 winners, 43% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+125€8,640
    4+0166€234
    3+1853€51.95
    3+08,461€17.02
    2+113,433€8.25
    2+0141,871€3.00
    0+1243,413€1.50