LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 24 May 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 28
  4. 45
  5. 49
  6. 6

Jackpot€8,191,816

The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 282 of 868 under them

← 2015-05-17All recent draws2015-05-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 28 45 49 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread79th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

425times
1135times
2827times
4529times
49

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 438k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€164.5K
  • 2+033%€442.3K
  • 0+130%€396.7K
  • 5 other tiers25%€334K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

627times

Every number was expected about that many times after 281 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 28, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 June 2012 — its closest relative in 281 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€164,549
  • 4+134≈ 34 by chance€880
  • 4+0211≈ 306 by chance€165
  • 3+11,041≈ 1.6k by chance€38.32
  • 3+09,218≈ 15k by chance€14.06
  • 2+115,606≈ 26k by chance€6.39
  • 2+0147,437≈ 230k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1264,468≈ 264k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,606 winners, 39% fewer than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€164,549
    4+134€880
    4+0211€165
    3+11,041€38.32
    3+09,218€14.06
    2+115,606€6.39
    2+0147,437€3.00
    0+1264,468€1.50