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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 5 July 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 43
  6. 1

Jackpot€10,978,611

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 288 of 868 under them

← 2015-06-28All recent draws2015-07-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 15 17 43 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd90th
  • low90th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

224times
1317times
1532times
1727times
43

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 439k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€148.1K
  • 2+041%€556.2K
  • 0+125%€336.8K
  • 5 other tiers22%€300.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

126times

Every number was expected about that many times after 287 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (13, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2015 — its closest relative in 287 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 June 2015): 15 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.1 by chance€148,056
  • 4+117≈ 29 by chance€1,583
  • 4+0276≈ 260 by chance€114
  • 3+1917≈ 1.4k by chance€39.14
  • 3+013,266≈ 12k by chance€8.79
  • 2+114,744≈ 22k by chance€6.09
  • 2+0185,409≈ 195k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1224,524≈ 225k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 917 winners, 34% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€148,056
    4+117€1,583
    4+0276€114
    3+1917€39.14
    3+013,266€8.79
    2+114,744€6.09
    2+0185,409€3.00
    0+1224,524€1.50