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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 14 October 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 44
  5. 52
  6. 0

Jackpot€5,800,000

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 459 of 868 under them

← 2018-10-07All recent draws2018-10-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 28 30 44 52 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd1th
  • low10th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

1444times
2844times
3033times
4439times
52

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-14

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 318k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • 4+117%€196.3K
  • 2+033%€378.5K
  • 0+123%€261K
  • 4 other tiers27%€307K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.09 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

044times

Every number was expected about that many times after 458 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (28, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 July 2018 — its closest relative in 458 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

52 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 0.82 by chance
no winners
  • 4+111≈ 22 by chance€17,846
  • 4+0152≈ 201 by chance€232
  • 3+1628≈ 1.1k by chance€64.12
  • 3+07,548≈ 9.7k by chance€17.34
  • 2+19,908≈ 17k by chance€10.16
  • 2+0126,150≈ 151k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1174,018≈ 174k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 628 winners, 41% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+111€17,846
    4+0152€232
    3+1628€64.12
    3+07,548€17.34
    2+19,908€10.16
    2+0126,150€3.00
    0+1174,018€1.50