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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 November 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 42
  4. 46
  5. 53
  6. 3

Jackpot€5,800,000

The crowdHeld 50% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 463 of 868 under them

← 2018-11-04All recent draws2018-11-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 42 46 53 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

240times
1547times
4241times
4633times
53

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 414k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€174.5K
  • 2+028%€356.6K
  • 0+132%€410.3K
  • 5 other tiers27%€354.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

49times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

346times

Every number was expected about that many times after 462 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (42, 46, 53) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 November 2016 — its closest relative in 462 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 November 2018): 2 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€87,266
  • 4+114≈ 35 by chance€2,267
  • 4+0141≈ 316 by chance€263
  • 3+1764≈ 1.7k by chance€55.38
  • 3+06,892≈ 15k by chance€19.95
  • 2+113,856≈ 26k by chance€7.63
  • 2+0118,854≈ 238k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1273,544≈ 274k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 764 winners, 55% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€87,266
    4+114€2,267
    4+0141€263
    3+1764€55.38
    3+06,892€19.95
    2+113,856€7.63
    2+0118,854€3.00
    0+1273,544€1.50