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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 30 June 2019

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 26
  4. 28
  5. 43
  6. 5

Jackpot€9,700,000

The crowdHeld 48% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 496 of 868 under them

← 2019-06-23All recent draws2019-07-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 26 28 43 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 June 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

1164times
1342times
2645times
2846times
43

Prize breakdown · 2019-06-30

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 528k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€150.4K
  • 2+032%€458.6K
  • 0+136%€509.3K
  • 5 other tiers21%€305.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

550times

Every number was expected about that many times after 495 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 13, 26, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 December 2018 — its closest relative in 495 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 June 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.6 by chance€150,407
  • 4+153≈ 44 by chance€516
  • 4+0282≈ 393 by chance€113
  • 3+11,587≈ 2.1k by chance€22.98
  • 3+010,422≈ 19k by chance€11.37
  • 2+122,956≈ 33k by chance€3.97
  • 2+0152,851≈ 295k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1339,550≈ 340k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 152,851 winners, 48% fewer than the 295k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€150,407
    4+153€516
    4+0282€113
    3+11,587€22.98
    3+010,422€11.37
    2+122,956€3.97
    2+0152,851€3.00
    0+1339,550€1.50