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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 August 2019

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 37
  2. 39
  3. 43
  4. 48
  5. 49
  6. 4

Jackpot€11,900,000

The crowdHeld 48% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 501 of 868 under them

← 2019-07-28All recent draws2019-08-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed37 39 43 48 49 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

11oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 11 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd90th
  • low1th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

3748times
3947times
4339times
4848times
49

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 458k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€193.7K
  • 2+028%€402.8K
  • 0+131%€447.8K
  • 5 other tiers27%€393.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

439times

Every number was expected about that many times after 500 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (37, 43, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 February 2012 — its closest relative in 500 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 July 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

216

The numbers add up to 216 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.4 by chance€193,740
  • 4+125≈ 38 by chance€1,409
  • 4+0208≈ 345 by chance€198
  • 3+1976≈ 1.8k by chance€48.12
  • 3+08,420≈ 17k by chance€18.13
  • 2+115,291≈ 29k by chance€7.68
  • 2+0134,266≈ 260k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1298,509≈ 299k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,420 winners, 49% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€193,740
    4+125€1,409
    4+0208€198
    3+1976€48.12
    3+08,420€18.13
    2+115,291€7.68
    2+0134,266€3.00
    0+1298,509€1.50