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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 October 2020

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 13
  4. 23
  5. 37
  6. 1

Jackpot€5,400,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 552 of 869 under them

← 2020-09-27All recent draws2020-10-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 13 23 37 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd90th
  • low90th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

360times
649times
1349times
2354times
37

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 423k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€137K
  • 2+041%€517.7K
  • 0+126%€331.7K
  • 5 other tiers22%€278.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

55times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

149times

Every number was expected about that many times after 551 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 23, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 October 2017 — its closest relative in 551 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.0 by chance
€68,511
  • 4+123≈ 28 by chance€1,083
  • 4+0305≈ 256 by chance€95.30
  • 3+11,026≈ 1.4k by chance€32.38
  • 3+013,790≈ 12k by chance€7.83
  • 2+114,397≈ 21k by chance€5.77
  • 2+0172,576≈ 192k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1221,128≈ 221k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 14,397 winners, 33% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€68,511
    4+123€1,083
    4+0305€95.30
    3+11,026€32.38
    3+013,790€7.83
    2+114,397€5.77
    2+0172,576€3.00
    0+1221,128€1.50