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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 1 August 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 14
  3. 23
  4. 52
  5. 53
  6. 0

Jackpot€11,400,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 595 of 868 under them

← 2021-07-25All recent draws2021-08-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 14 23 52 53 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

1262times
1454times
2358times
5247times
53

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 367k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€178.5K
  • 2+033%€425.7K
  • 0+124%€306.8K
  • 5 other tiers28%€362.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.11 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

056times

Every number was expected about that many times after 594 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 23, 53) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 August 2018 — its closest relative in 594 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 July 2021): 52 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 52–53. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 0.97 by chance
€89,230
  • 4+115≈ 26 by chance€2,163
  • 4+0165≈ 237 by chance€229
  • 3+1707≈ 1.3k by chance€61.19
  • 3+07,896≈ 11k by chance€17.81
  • 2+111,591≈ 20k by chance€9.33
  • 2+0141,890≈ 178k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1204,542≈ 205k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 707 winners, 44% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€89,230
    4+115€2,163
    4+0165€229
    3+1707€61.19
    3+07,896€17.81
    2+111,591€9.33
    2+0141,890€3.00
    0+1204,542€1.50