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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 10 October 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 54
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,600,000

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 605 of 869 under them

← 2021-10-03All recent draws2021-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 23 25 54 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

258times
365times
2360times
2545times
54

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 462k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€196.7K
  • 2+034%€473.7K
  • 0+130%€413.3K
  • 4 other tiers22%€307.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

862times

Every number was expected about that many times after 604 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 25, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 June 2020 — its closest relative in 604 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.3 by chance
no winners
  • 4+128≈ 35 by chance€7,026
  • 4+0178≈ 319 by chance€198
  • 3+11,116≈ 1.7k by chance€36.16
  • 3+09,972≈ 15k by chance€13.15
  • 2+116,810≈ 27k by chance€6.00
  • 2+0157,913≈ 240k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1275,500≈ 276k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 16,810 winners, 37% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+128€7,026
    4+0178€198
    3+11,116€36.16
    3+09,972€13.15
    2+116,810€6.00
    2+0157,913€3.00
    0+1275,500€1.50