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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 23 July 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 24
  3. 31
  4. 39
  5. 49
  6. 0

Jackpot€7,500,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 698 of 869 under them

← 2023-07-16All recent draws2023-07-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 24 31 39 49 + 029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

268times
2468times
3165times
3968times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 329k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • 4+117%€187.1K
  • 2+033%€377K
  • 0+124%€276.4K
  • 4 other tiers26%€292.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.10 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

66times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

064times

Every number was expected about that many times after 697 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 24, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 October 2018 — its closest relative in 697 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2023): 31 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 0.87 by chance
no winners
  • 4+115≈ 24 by chance€12,475
  • 4+0133≈ 213 by chance€253
  • 3+1620≈ 1.1k by chance€61.91
  • 3+07,469≈ 10k by chance€16.70
  • 2+110,414≈ 18k by chance€9.21
  • 2+0125,669≈ 160k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1184,236≈ 184k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 620 winners, 45% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+115€12,475
    4+0133€253
    3+1620€61.91
    3+07,469€16.70
    2+110,414€9.21
    2+0125,669€3.00
    0+1184,236€1.50