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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 28 July 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 24
  3. 35
  4. 41
  5. 53
  6. 3

Jackpot€18,600,000

The crowdHeld 49% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 751 of 869 under them

← 2024-07-21All recent draws2024-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 24 35 41 53 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd90th
  • low34th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

2167times
2479times
3561times
4163times
53

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 428k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€172.2K
  • 2+028%€371.9K
  • 0+132%€420.9K
  • 5 other tiers27%€349.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

380times

Every number was expected about that many times after 750 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 24, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 October 2022 — its closest relative in 750 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.3 by chance€172,224
  • 4+125≈ 36 by chance€1,253
  • 4+0155≈ 324 by chance€236
  • 3+1895≈ 1.7k by chance€46.65
  • 3+07,517≈ 16k by chance€18.05
  • 2+115,296≈ 27k by chance€6.82
  • 2+0123,966≈ 244k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1280,594≈ 281k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,517 winners, 52% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€172,224
    4+125€1,253
    4+0155€236
    3+1895€46.65
    3+07,517€18.05
    2+115,296€6.82
    2+0123,966€3.00
    0+1280,594€1.50