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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 May 2025

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 16
  3. 17
  4. 25
  5. 34
  6. 3

Jackpot€19,200,000

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 791 of 869 under them

← 2025-04-27All recent draws2025-05-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 16 17 25 34 + 32 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap6th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

1467times
1662times
1761times
2558times
34

Prize breakdown · 2025-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 455k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€149.4K
  • 2+033%€432.4K
  • 0+132%€421.2K
  • 5 other tiers23%€303.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

97times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

388times

Every number was expected about that many times after 790 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 25, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 April 2025 — its closest relative in 790 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 April 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.3 by chance€149,355
  • 4+121≈ 36 by chance€1,293
  • 4+0212≈ 325 by chance€149
  • 3+11,323≈ 1.7k by chance€27.37
  • 3+010,086≈ 16k by chance€11.67
  • 2+118,080≈ 27k by chance€5.01
  • 2+0144,147≈ 244k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1280,794≈ 281k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 144,147 winners, 41% fewer than the 244k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€149,355
    4+121€1,293
    4+0212€149
    3+11,323€27.37
    3+010,086€11.67
    2+118,080€5.01
    2+0144,147€3.00
    0+1280,794€1.50