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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
La Primitiva · draw
ResultLa Primitiva
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013draw 2,405 of 2,558 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
La Primitiva was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 2,404 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 294 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,404 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 5 of 6 numbers (2, 16, 19, 26, 46) with the draw of 29 October 1998 — its closest relative in 2,404 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 13,945 winners, 9% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5+C | 3 | €138,581 |
| 5 | 230 | €3,615 |
| 4 | 13,945 | €89.44 |
| 3 | 261,085 | €8.00 |
| R | 0 | €1.00 |