In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 rules — 389 draws, 2 from 1–10 (an earlier era).
74times drawn · chance expected 78 −0.48σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 64% for any number
5.1average wait between appearances · chance says 5.0
24longest completed wait · 35% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 74 times in 389 draws against 77.8 expected, −0.48σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 74 times in 389 draws · average wait 5.1 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 9 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 2/10 tonight whatever it did last week.