In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 2 from 1–8 (an earlier era).
34times drawn · chance expected 33 +0.15σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
3.9average wait between appearances · chance says 4.0
18longest completed wait · 22% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 34 times in 133 draws against 33.3 expected, +0.15σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 34 times in 133 draws · average wait 3.9 draws · longest completed wait 18 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 7 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 4th most popular of 8. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 2/8 tonight whatever it did last week.